CalPERS CEO Marcie Frost, hailed as one of the most influential women in institutional investing, talked to Pensions & Investments about America’s largest public pension system’s approach to artificial intelligence, ESG and Climate Action 100+, as well as the responsibility of women leaders supporting other emerging women stars.
Frost, who joined California Public Employees' Retirement System as CEO in October 2016 and oversees a global investment portfolio of $492.8 billion, also discussed the scrutiny that comes with running the nation's largest public pension fund, on herself as well as on its employees. “I've yet to find organizations that have the same level of personal attention put on employees,” Frost told P&I. “I've not seen that anywhere else. The turnover has simply been with the CIO position. I've got managing investment directors in the investment office…(with) combined tenure (of) over 100 years, probably.”
Frost was named to P&I’s inaugural Influential Women in Institutional Investing list in 2023 and appeared in Barron’s 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance in 2021. “Women need to be more supportive of one another,” she said. “When women make it to a certain level of organization, you have a responsibility to bring others up with you. I think we can do a lot better job there.”
This is the second installment of our two-part interview with Frost. Questions and answers have been edited for style, clarity and conciseness.
Q: There's been a lot of discussion around artificial intelligence. How are you folks approaching AI at CalPERS?
A: I think there are two approaches. One would be internally at CalPERS, how are we thinking about making ourselves even more efficient, how are we thinking about having more insightful information into our investment decision processes because this predictive AI can sort through a lot of data and reach conclusions. Now you always have to have an adult oversight, or adult supervision, on the conclusions to make sure they actually make sense. But there are opportunities. We're seeing companies and venture (capital), they're taking full advantage of AI to make themselves distinctive from other VC firms or other companies.
Secondly, being able to distinguish the managers (who we are working with) and how they might be using AI — you can use a lot of informational tools, you can use a lot of technology — but unless you have the people with the right behaviors running that company and really pushing for performance and pushing for results, these are just tools that are not going to help you.
There are places that are using AI very, very well. Those will be the winners in this long term. And then, again, we are working through, as CalPERS as an employer and CalPERS as an asset owner, where do we take more advantage of this, including with the data and technology project that we are hoping to get underway for our investment office by sometime this year.
Q: Let’s shift to ESG and the anti-ESG movement. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink was very public about ESG last year. Against the backdrop of heightened political tensions, Fink said he was ditching the ESG term — but not its strategy — because it’s “been misused by the far left and the far right.” And related to ESG, could you talk about your continued work to address climate change risk?
A: Speaking of an area that I have passion and drive, this would be one of the areas for me personally as well as professionally. It is different here in the U.S. I have a lot of relationships outside of the U.S. and these types of political headwinds or "green hushing" and shushing and washing are not as prevalent in those conversations as they are when I'm here in the U.S.
The moment we start letting politics decide how we invest, then we're all in trouble. For me, we've always looked at the E, S and G in terms of risk to long-term capital formation and long-term value creation. We've always looked at it that way, from the time we started, we co-founded Climate Action 100+. That was an engagement group; we had like-minded investors, whether they were managers or owners, really working with us around data transparency. And creating that CA 100 benchmark so we had some standardized information to use as we were evaluating those risks, and so we don't see it much differently.
The only thing now that we believe that we are poised to do is with our SI 2030 plan (CalPERS’ Sustainable Investments 2030), and the enhanced engagement elements, is that we're going to have deeper conversations with some of our high-emitting companies and those conversations are around, ‘Is there an energy transition plan in place?’
And if so, how are they planning to accomplish it? How can we measure what they're doing, how they are measuring it, how can we monitor what they're doing? Over time, we may see, the team, based on that data, taking a position that a particular company is not managing their long-term risks, and we may move or weight that company differently if it's a public company or we may move away from a manager in private equity who we don't believe is really managing this.
Now, my belief, based on conversations, is that it is going to continued to be managed. People have just stopped talking about it publicly. The reason is things that you stated: those political headwinds, the fact Larry Fink got attacked pretty personally about this. Others have been publicly attacked personally about this. There have been laws in certain states that make it a criminal act to invest in ESG. ESG doesn't have a common definition so it's easy to toss that around and define it as one thing over another.
We've always defined it as, these are long-term risks, we have a fiduciary responsibility to protect the fund, to protect the members’ assets and our investment earnings on those members’ assets. This is just the next evolution of that, the accountability piece. Not that we're telling the company how to manage their business, but for us to understand how they're managing the risk, and then we make the call on whether we want to provide that capital at the same level that we have historically. That's really the enhanced engagement piece of SI 2030.
Q: Can you elaborate more on SI 2030?
A: SI 2030 is really around climate risk and it's around diversifying managers where we're providing capital. It's also finding that $100 billion in climate solutions, of which half has been allocated, and I really can't give the number right now, but there are a number of deals going through due diligence in the pipeline today that we're hopeful to be able to announce ... at least one of those deals within the next 30 days or so. It becomes harder to invest based on risk than it has been in the past, but again as a large capital provider, a long-term investor like CalPERS, we have to continue to provide that counterbalance to the markets, to the regulatory environment.
Q: Marcie, What keeps you up at night? What is at the top of your worry list?
A: Geopolitical risk. We're a global investor and supply chain issues … I think we all had a bit of a wake-up call about the dependency and supply chains. I would not want to see those become more concentrated.
And keeping our own team in a place where they feel supported and can make the investment decisions that are needed to pay these benefits for a very long period of time. A 6.8% return assumption over all the various market cycles is not an easy feat.
I spoke with my own team this morning about how do we measure whether we've got the passion, the drive and the grit, and how do we bring those attributes into the way that we hire in some of these really key positions. We can't predict the future, but we certainly need to be sitting down and thinking about what the future could look like and where are the opportunities, where are the threats, and how do we take advantage of one and mitigate the other. How do we keep this system moving forward, getting our next CIO on board, in place, feeling like they're thriving. I don't sleep well in this job just because I feel a lot of responsibility for what we do … protecting 2.2 million people's livelihoods into retirement.
I feel that personally. It's a job I decided to do professionally and a lot of that is based on my grandparents and how I was raised. I come from very humble beginnings and so that has always kept me up at night and probably will continue to do so.