Going back to the end of 2021, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and the S&P 500 have tended to move in opposite directions. However, the inverse relationship between the Treasury yield and index became positive from May through July when both increased. The relationship has since reverted.
Falling 10-year Treasury yields could further boost stock prices
U.S. Treasury yields have continued to drop in December, to 3.91% as of Dec. 15 from 4.37% at the end of November. Economists' 10-year yield forecasts vary widely. The median forecast calls for the yield to go to 3.6% by the end of 2025.
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