Ranking strategists' S&P 500 estimates for 2012
See which strategists at 12 major brokerages came closest to estimating the Standard & Poor's 500 Index finish in 2012.
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Morgan Stanley Adam Parker 1,167 1,426.19 18.2% -18.2% 1,434
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 HSBC Garry Evans 1,250 1,426.19 12.4% -12.4% 1,560
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Goldman Sachs David Kostin 1,250 1,426.19 12.4% -12.4% 1,575
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 UBS Jonathan Golub 1,325 1,426.19 7.1% -7.1% 1,425
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Barclays Barry Knapp 1,330 1,426.19 6.7% -6.7% 1,525
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Credit Suisse Andrew Garthwaite 1,340 1,426.19 6.0% -6.0% 1,550
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Bank of America Savita Subramanian 1,350 1,426.19 5.3% -5.3% 1,600
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Deutsche Bank Binky Chadha 1,500 1,426.19 5.2% 5.2% NA
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Wells Fargo Gina Martin Adams 1,360 1,426.19 4.6% -4.6% 1,390
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Oppenheimer Brian Belski 1,400 1,426.19 1.8% -1.8% 1,575
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 J.P. Morgan Thomas Lee 1,430 1,426.19 0.3% 0.3% 1,580
Firm Strategiest 2012 forecast close as of 1/4/12 2012 close Absolute margin of error Prediction vs. actual close 2013 forecast as of 1/2/13 Citigroup Tobias Levkovich 1,425 1,426.19 0.1% -0.1% 1,615
Results ranked in reverse order of margin of error.