We asked executives in the money management and pension fund industry what they think will be the most and least likely headlines to top news stories by Pensions & Investments in 2024. The results were decidedly mixed.
P&I asked the experts: What will be top headlines in 2024?
Bloomberg
Kate El-Hillow, president and CIO, Russell Investments
Most likely: The 60/40 portfolio isn't dead, or Rise of the machines
Least likely: PM Starmer reapplies for EU membership
Emiel van den Heiligenberg, head of asset allocation, LGIM
Most likely: Netherlands wins the Euro 2024
Least likely: Big technological breakthrough in nuclear fusion makes oil drop to below $20 a barrel
Lori Heinel, global chief investment officer, State Street Global Advisors
Least likely: Teens around the world drop social media, turn to books for fun!
Thijs Knaap, chief economist, APG Asset Management
Most likely: Renewable energy capacity increases more than expected in 2024
Least likely: Markets calm as economists' forecasts all exactly right
Eric Lascelles, chief economist, RBC Global Asset Management
Most likely: Central banks pivot to rate cuts
Least likely: Cost-of-living crisis officially solved
Bill Maldonado, CIO, Eastspring Investments
Most likely: Fed cuts rates sooner than expected
Least likely: Resurgence in inflation drives rates higher
Daniel McCormack, head of research, Macquarie Asset Management
Most likely: U.S. consumer falters as the U.S. economy enters recession
Least likely: China's financial crisis (and associated capital flight) rocks global markets
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