As markets and bond yields rise, more DB plans eye LDI
Skip to main content
pilogo-NEW
Subscribe
  • Subscribe
  • My Account
  • login
  • NEWS
    • Asset owners and the coronavirus
    • Alternatives
    • Consultants
    • Coronavirus
    • Defined Contribution
    • ESG
    • Frontlines
    • Hedge Funds
    • Investing / Portfolio Strategies
    • Money Management
    • Pension Funds
    • People Moves
    • Private Equity
    • Real Estate
    • Searches & Hires News
    • SECURE Act
    • Special Reports
    • WorldPensionSummit
    • Ron Schmitz
      Pandemic drives faster transition for Virginia to private markets
      Mubadala Investment Co. logo
      Mubadala draws on portfolio in coronavirus fight
      T.J. Carlson
      Texas Muni reduces downside risk during pandemic, finding opportunities now
      Scott Davis
      ‘Triage plan’ at Indiana system helped stem losses
    • Close up of Business people shaking hands, finishing up meeting, business etiquette, congratulation, merger and acquisition concept
      Cathay Innovation Partners takes minority stake in Seaya Ventures
      IACPM: Credit managers see stabilizing effect from stimulus programs
      KKR lifts out 3 to focus on clean energy infrastructure
      Richard Johnson
      Appian Capital Advisory adds global investor relations head
    • Callan brings on 2 executives
      Hub International agrees to buy Plan Sponsor Consultants
      Aon names public markets solution leader
      Deloitte to acquire Sydney-based consulting firm Rice Warner
    • IACPM: Credit managers see stabilizing effect from stimulus programs
      BofA: Most managers bullish on economy, markets
      Alternative investment funds faced liquidity squeezes in COVID-19 crisis and 2019
      Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, listens during a Senate Banking Committee hearing in Washington on Dec. 1, 2020
      Fed saw some time before taper conditions met – minutes
    • Pentegra launches pooled employer plan
      Teresa Hassara
      Ascensus taps MassMutual alum as new FuturePlan president
      Economic Group Pension Services scoops up third-party administrator
      OregonSaves gathers $100 million in assets
    • Tracker gives investors insight into progress on social commitments
      Shoppers wear protective masks while visiting an Apple Inc. store at George Street in Sydney, Australia, on June 24, 2020.
      Apple backs SEC mandate on climate disclosure
      Emissions rise from the Kentucky Utilities Co. Ghent generating station in Ghent, Ky.
      Investors, businesses call for ambitious emissions goals
      Signage for Temasek Holdings Pte. is displayed during a news conference following the company's annual review in Singapore
      Temasek, BlackRock partner to launch carbon-cutting funds
    • New book culls institutional wisdom from podcast series
      Fearless Girl
      SSGA’s Fearless Girl statue now shattering glass ceiling
      Tangen video
      Norges chief dons chef’s hat to boost employees’ spirits
      Ken Griffin
      Ken Griffin donates $5 million to give Miami students internet
    • Karen Karniol-Tambour
      Bridgewater appoints 2 co-CIOs to oversee new sustainable investing group
      Hedge funds post best first-quarter return since 2000
      Jason Kephart
      Managers see good times ahead in 2021
      Jev Mehmet, CEO of Brevan Howard's Coremont unit
      Brevan Howard runs $50 billion unit like BlackRock’s Aladdin
    • Jake Remley
      Commentary: Inflation expectations vs. reality in the bond market
      IACPM: Credit managers see stabilizing effect from stimulus programs
      Connecticut earmarks $200 million to 4 alts funds
      Karen Karniol-Tambour
      Bridgewater appoints 2 co-CIOs to oversee new sustainable investing group
    • A pedestrian holding a cellphone walks past BlackRock Inc. headquarters in New York
      BlackRock AUM hits record $9 trillion in first quarter
      SSGA selects head of continental Europe for global institutional group
      BofA: Most managers bullish on economy, markets
      The Absa Group logo displayed in Pretoria
      Absa shuts $6 billion mutual fund, sparking spinoff speculation
    • Ontario Municipal promotes from within for new global equities exec
      Kansas City Employees adopts global strategy with small-cap swing
      Michael C. Viteri
      Arizona appoints new CIO
      A £10 sterling bank note with a pound coin and a ballpoint pen, with focus on the word 'pension.'
      U.K. defined benefit plans’ surplus surges in March
    • Karen Karniol-Tambour
      Bridgewater appoints 2 co-CIOs to oversee new sustainable investing group
      SSGA selects head of continental Europe for global institutional group
      Ontario Municipal promotes from within for new global equities exec
      Mirova adds proxy voting and engagement leader
    • Bills of euro, dollar and pound currencies, among others
      Ardian closes latest buyout fund at $8.8 billion
      Hand typing on stationary iPhone at an office reception desk
      Private equity’s taste for tech spurs $80 billion deal spree
      Vista Equity promotes 2 to leadership roles on 2 funds
      Azimut takes minority stake in HighPost
    • CalSTRS indutrial property
      Investors hungry for industrial properties
      Tim Wang
      GLP names co-president of logistics, industrial real estate for China
      Frank Forster
      StepStone Real Estate adds managing director for Europe
      Christine Iacoucci
      BentallGreenOak promotes from within to fill Canadian CIO role
    • Andy Schreiner
      New PEPs targeting firms without retirement plans
      Jackie Walorski
      Contribution catch-up for caregivers gaining favor
      Neal and Brady
      Retirement security could be only issue both sides accept
      Retirement cartoon
      Hopes rising for retirement readiness in 2021
    • Corporate pension contributions
      Eddy Awards 2021
      COVID-19: One year in
      Charging Bull, sometimes referred to as the Wall Street Bull or the Bowling Green Bull, a bronze sculpture that stands on Broadway just north of Bowling Green in the Financial District of New York City
      Top-performing managers Q4 2020
    • U.S. still a key market for investors
      Collected coverage of P&I's 2020 WorldPensionSummit
      Pedestrians pass a large advertisement on the Arndale Center shopping mall reading 'Act now to avoid a local lockdown' in Manchester, England
      COVID-19 puts new opportunities and risks on the agenda - WPS panelists
      Screens display stock price information over the trading floor of the NYSE Euronext exchange in Paris
      Private assets will continue to grow in portfolios – WPS panelists
  • Data
    • Research Center
    • Searches & Hires Database
    • Searches & Hires News
    • RFPs
    • Charts / Infographics
    • Sponsored Research
    • Trackers
    • Q2 2020 searches and hires overview report
      Q2 2020 money manager M&A activity summary
      Q2 2020 legal overview report
      Q1 2020 searches and hires overview report
    • Connecticut earmarks $200 million to 4 alts funds
      Orlando pension funds pick Axiom for emerging markets equity
      St. Louis Public Schools assigns $5 million to value-added real estate
      BayerInvest taps BlackRock to run ESG-focused private debt allocation
    • Connecticut earmarks $200 million to 4 alts funds
      Orlando pension funds pick Axiom for emerging markets equity
      St. Louis Public Schools assigns $5 million to value-added real estate
      BayerInvest taps BlackRock to run ESG-focused private debt allocation
    • Passive Investment Management Services
      Active Extended Global Credit Manager Search
      Actuarial Services
      Investment Management Services
    • Managed account adoption stalls in 2020
      U.S. bonds have worst quarterly return since 1981
      Stable value retains edge over money market funds
      Taiwan Semiconductor’s No. 1 in the emerging markets book
    • Institutional Investors: Shared Expectations, Divergent Paths
      Global Investor Study 2016
      Workplace Financial Wellness
    • U.S. Endowment Returns Tracker
      Pension Fund Returns Tracker
      Earnings Tracker
      Corporate Pension Contribution Tracker
  • Insights
    • Opinion
    • White Papers
    • Industry Voices
    • Letters to the Editor
    • Partner Content
    • Publisher's Update
    • CalPERS cartoon
      Urgency underscores CalPERS' search for a CIO
      Multiemployer plans cartoon
      Money — but no fixes — for multiemployer plans
      Vaccination cartoon
      Rallying to meet the ongoing COVID-19 challenge
      Tesla cartoon
      Don’t confuse wealth creation with retirement saving
    • Bipsync Client Stories: RMS in Action at Pensions and Superannuation Funds
      COVID-19 Makes LP Portfolio Management More Important Than Ever
      China: the outlook is bright for longer-term investors
      Finding Differentiation in Securitized Assets
    • Jake Remley
      Commentary: Inflation expectations vs. reality in the bond market
      Greg Shea and Steven Kindred
      Commentary: The solution for yield-seeking allocators may be hiding in plain sight
      Jim Park
      Commentary: Asian Americans, Pacific Islanders face ‘bamboo ceiling’ in money management
      Jared Gross
      Commentary: Anchors and allocations – breaking the grip of 60/40
    • Writer using a typewriter
      OCIO industry needs to adopt GIPS
      Writer or journalist workplace. stock illustration
      Even as it assails China, Trump administration emulates it
      Skeptical of Main Street support for proxy adviser proposal
      Focus on manager diversity pushes asset owners’ to walk the talk
    • P&I Content Solutions
      Research for Institutional Money Management
      P&I Content Solutions
      Top questions for institutional investors
      Sponsored Content By Newton Investment Management
      Growth and Innovation in Emerging Markets
      P&I Content Solutions
      Fixed income 2021
    • Help us help you by supporting quality journalism
      You Must Believe in Spring
      Everything Must Change
      Tomatoes & Investments
  • Multimedia
    • Videos
    • Webinars
    • Polls
    • Slideshows
    • Charts / Infographics
    • watch video
      1:23
      The passive fixed-income glut
      watch video
      1:38
      Is it time for DC plans to embrace private equity?
      watch video
      5:39
      The coronavirus pandemic: One year later
      watch video
      0:45
      Private funds weathered 2020 turmoil
    • New Outlook on Income: A Framework for Evaluating DC Retirement Income Solutions
      Understanding the PEP Evolution
      Divest or engage?
      Innovations in DC: Helping supercharge retirement outcomes
    • POLL: The Biden infrastructure plan
      POLL: Retirement income solutions
      POLL: Working after the pandemic
      POLL: The year ahead for the 1,000 largest U.S. retirement funds
    • view gallery
      9 photos
      Coronavirus and the markets
      view gallery
      22 photos
      The 1,000 largest retirement funds: 2020
      view gallery
      10 photos
      Outlook 2020
      view gallery
      10 photos
      2019 as seen through the eyes of Roger
    • Managed account adoption stalls in 2020
      U.S. bonds have worst quarterly return since 1981
  • Events
    • Conferences
    • Webinars
    • DC Investment Lineup Virtual Series
      ESG Investing Virtual Series
      Private Markets Virtual Series
    • New Outlook on Income: A Framework for Evaluating DC Retirement Income Solutions
      Understanding the PEP Evolution
      Divest or engage?
      Innovations in DC: Helping supercharge retirement outcomes
  • Careers
  • Research Center
MENU
Breadcrumb
  1. Home
  2. INVESTING & PORTFOLIO STRATEGIES
April 29, 2013 01:00 AM

As markets and bond yields rise, more DB plans eye LDI

Rick Baert
  • Tweet
  • Share
  • Share
  • Email
  • More
    Reprints Print
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $17.9 billion
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $22.5 billion
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $25.1 billion
    Share
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $28.4 billion
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $34.3 billion
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $42.2 billion
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $53.4 billion
    Share
    P&I; Assets as of Sept. 30
    Assets: $30.8 billion
    Share
    P&I
    DB Assets: $101.9 billion

    2013 could be the year that more U.S. corporate defined benefit plans kick in their liability-driven-investing strategies if equity markets and bond yields continue to improve, according to an analysis of pension data by Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

    Such a change would stem a trend in 2012 during which pension executives at the 50 largest S&P 500 companies' plans, representing two-thirds of all DB assets among sponsors in the index, maintained their aggregate fixed-income allocation at 39%. The aggregate equity allocation slipped three percentage points to 39%, and real estate and other, primarily alternative, investments rose to a combined average of 22%, from 19%, Michael Moran, New York-based pension strategist at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said in an interview. Mr. Moran authored a GSAM white paper, “Pension Review First Take: Deja Vu All Over Again.”

    He said triggers to increase fixed-income investing, such as increases in interest rates and funded status, weren't reached in 2012. “We know so many plans have glidepaths or dynamic asset allocations in place, but often the triggers haven't been hit yet,” Mr. Moran said.

    One big impediment remains discount rates, which fell to an estimated 4% in 2012 from 5.8% in 2009 and 7.2% in 2002. But Mr. Moran sees some hope for their improvement. “In a low-rate environment, equity prices and bond yields can go up together,” Mr. Moran said, citing research from Goldman Sachs Investment Management Division's investment strategies group that there's a positive correlation between stock prices and fixed-income yields until risk-free rates compete with equity returns. According to the research, that inflection point coincides with 10-year Treasury yields of about 6%; yield forecasts for the end of 2013 hover around 2.25%.

    If that correlation continues, “you could see some dramatic moves in funded status,” Mr. Moran said.

    The aggregate funded status slipped a percentage point in 2012, to 78%, but among the 50 pension plans studied, that rate was expected to rebound to an estimated 83% in the first quarter of this year, cutting those plans' combined underfunding to an expected $253 billion from $332 billion in 2012, a 24% improvement.

    No forecasts

    Mr. Moran wouldn't make any forecasts beyond the first quarter on funded status. “It's too early,” he said. “There are still three quarters to go.” He also cautioned that when smaller defined benefit plans offered by S&P 500 companies are included, the aggregate funded status at the end of the first quarter would be below 80%.

    What will also help funded status is if investment returns for the plans studied remain above expectations. According to GSAM, the 50 plans added $431.3 billion from investment returns over four years, from 2009 to 2012. That's 26% above the plans' four-year combined expected return of $342.1 billion.

    Corporate plans have “the same dynamic” as public defined benefit plans that are under pressure to reduce their rate-of-return forecasts, Mr. Moran said.

    “Three of the last four years, companies we studied generated excess returns, yet the decline in return assumptions continues. It's increasingly hard in a low-rate environment to raise or maintain return assumptions for all asset classes, not just fixed income.”

    He said corporate plans' return assumptions require the approval of chief financial officers or company treasurers, many of whom remain concerned about mitigating risk.

    Along with bond rate and funded status triggers to implement LDI, more plans are looking at time triggers as well, for a variety of reasons, Mr. Moran said. GSAM clients have said they don't want to make the call on when interest rates will rise; some are taking a dollar-cost averaging approach, in which investments in an asset class are made at various points in time; and some are concerned about capacity if each plan has the same rate or funded status trigger.

    “We get questions from clients that they have glidepaths, but everyone else has them, too,” Mr. Moran said. “If all are piling into long duration at the same time, that raises capacity issues.”

    Related Articles
    LDI bandwagon rolling on
    Public funds should take good look at liability matching
    Cambridge: DB derisking glidepaths 'too mechanistic'; plans should target risk …
    More pension executives are using daily monitoring
    Pension funds using LDI
    Recommended for You
    More funds testing water on crypto-related assets
    More funds testing water on crypto-related assets
    Money managers eager to make leap to opportunity zone investing
    Money managers eager to make leap to opportunity zone investing
    Index investing: Not as passive as you might think
    Index investing: Not as passive as you might think
    Fixed income 2021
    Sponsored Content: Fixed income 2021
    sponsored
    Events
     
     
    Sponsored
    White Papers
    Bipsync Client Stories: RMS in Action at Pensions and Superannuation Funds
    COVID-19 Makes LP Portfolio Management More Important Than Ever
    China: the outlook is bright for longer-term investors
    Finding Differentiation in Securitized Assets
    Green and sustainable bonds in emerging markets
    Portfolio Protection: One Size Fits None
    View More
    Sponsored Content
    Partner Content
    The Industrialization of ESG Investment
    For institutional investors, ETFs can make meeting liquidity needs easier
    Gold: the most effective commodity investment
    2021 Investment Outlook | Investing Beyond the Pandemic: A Reset for Portfolios
    Ten ways retirement plan professionals add value to plan sponsors
    Gold: an efficient hedge
    View More
    E-MAIL NEWSLETTERS

    Sign up and get the best of News delivered straight to your email inbox, free of charge. Choose your news – we will deliver.

    Subscribe Today
    April 5, 2021 Page One

    Get access to the news, research and analysis of events affecting the retirement and institutional money management businesses from a worldwide network of reporters and editors.

    Subscribe
    Connect With Us
    • RSS
    • Twitter
    • Facebook
    • LinkedIn

    Our Mission

    To consistently deliver news, research and analysis to the executives who manage the flow of funds in the institutional investment market.

    pilogo-NEW
    About Us

    Main Office
    685 Third Avenue
    Tenth Floor
    New York, NY 10017-4036

    Chicago Office
    150 N. Michigan Ave.
    Chicago, IL 60601

    Contact Us

    Careers at Crain

    About Pensions & Investments

     

    Advertising
    • Media Kit
    • P&I Content Solutions
    • P&I Careers | Post a Job
    • Reprints & Permissions
    Resources
    • Subscribe
    • Newsletters
    • FAQ
    • P&I Research Center
    • Site map
    • Staff Directory
    Legal
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms and Conditions
    • Privacy Request
    Pensions & Investments
    Copyright © 1996-2021. Crain Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
    • NEWS
      • Asset owners and the coronavirus
      • Alternatives
      • Consultants
      • Coronavirus
      • Defined Contribution
      • ESG
      • Frontlines
      • Hedge Funds
      • Investing / Portfolio Strategies
      • Money Management
      • Pension Funds
      • People Moves
      • Private Equity
      • Real Estate
      • Searches & Hires News
      • SECURE Act
      • Special Reports
      • WorldPensionSummit
    • Data
      • Research Center
      • Searches & Hires Database
      • Searches & Hires News
      • RFPs
      • Charts / Infographics
      • Sponsored Research
      • Trackers
    • Insights
      • Opinion
      • White Papers
      • Industry Voices
      • Letters to the Editor
      • Partner Content
      • Publisher's Update
    • Multimedia
      • Videos
      • Webinars
      • Polls
      • Slideshows
      • Charts / Infographics
    • Events
      • Conferences
      • Webinars
    • Careers
    • Research Center