The FDIC might fail, requiring a federal bailout, dragged down by the failure of regional banks with substantial commercial mortgage debt, Andrew W. Lo warned.
Mr. Lo, founder and chief investment strategist of AlphaSimplex Group and a finance professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said that a failure to restructure debt on Stuyvesant Town-Peter Cooper Village — the vast New York apartment complex — could cause New York banks holding its debt to collapse. The value of the property reportedly has dropped more than $3.2 billion since it was acquired in 2006 for $5.4 billion by Tishman Speyer Properties and partners.
Mr. Lo made his comments at a press briefing hosted by Natixis Global Asset Management, AlphaSimplex's parent company. The FDIC has proposed that banks prepay their assessments to the FDIC for the next three years, generating some $45 billion for the cash-strapped insurance fund.