Outlook 2005: Real estate
Skip to main content
pilogo-NEW
Subscribe
  • Subscribe
  • My Account
  • login
  • NEWS
    • Asset owners and the coronavirus
    • Alternatives
    • Consultants
    • Coronavirus
    • Defined Contribution
    • ESG
    • Frontlines
    • Hedge Funds
    • Investing / Portfolio Strategies
    • Money Management
    • Pension Funds
    • People Moves
    • Private Equity
    • Real Estate
    • Searches & Hires News
    • SECURE Act
    • Special Reports
    • WorldPensionSummit
    • Ron Schmitz
      Pandemic drives faster transition for Virginia to private markets
      Mubadala Investment Co. logo
      Mubadala draws on portfolio in coronavirus fight
      T.J. Carlson
      Texas Muni reduces downside risk during pandemic, finding opportunities now
      Scott Davis
      ‘Triage plan’ at Indiana system helped stem losses
    • Varagon Capitol fills new business development role
      Fitch Group in deal to acquire CreditSights
      Credit managers’ outlook still gloomy but brightening – survey
      Digital Colony picks head of Europe capital formation
    • Will Martindale
      Cardano Group chooses group head of sustainability
      Meketa hires first chief marketing officer
      Nick Horsfall
      Redington names managing directors for investment consulting team
      Marsh & McLennan Agency sets sights on Compass Financial
    • New York State Common challenges Tyson’s dual-share stock structure
      Credit managers’ outlook still gloomy but brightening – survey
      Investors call for action on COVID-19-induced humanitarian crisis at sea
      U.S. jobs worker restaurant
      Job market slipped in December as virus surge hindered activity
    • Ascensus, Empower acquire Truist record-keeping business
      PCS Retirement acquires Alliance Benefit Group-Rocky Mountain
      Shawn O'Brien
      Annuities coming to target-date funds, but not right away
      David Ireland
      Sponsors returning to questions about in-plan annuities
    • New law requires MassPRIM to increase diversity of managers, consultants
      Impact investors getting savvier, more efficient – report
      SSGA alum named head of ESG at Mirova
      Aegon moves to cut carbon from workplace DC business
    • Galina Churkina
      Building research earns honor from Aquila Capital
      Blackstone holiday video
      Blackstone would like to show you how things are done around the office
      MacArthur Foundation invests in women’s safe housing fund
      Bill Harmon
      Voya offers fee break for minority-owned firms
    • The Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. logo is displayed on the Sun Hung Kai Centre building in Hong Kong on Sept. 13, 2018
      SHK spins out East Point Asset Management
      Man holding a business card with Hedge Fund written on it
      Hedge funds chalk up decade’s best returns in 2020 – HFR
      New hedge fund launches surpass liquidations in third quarter
      Michael Hintz
      CQS deal with spinoff team falls apart
    • New York State Common challenges Tyson’s dual-share stock structure
      A sign on the exterior of a Northern Trust Corp. branch in Chicago on July 13, 2017
      Northern Trust to cut 500 jobs
      Wells Fargo targets $8 billion in cuts
      Maine Public Employees boosts target to alternative credit
    • A sign on the exterior of a Northern Trust Corp. branch in Chicago on July 13, 2017
      Northern Trust to cut 500 jobs
      Wells Fargo targets $8 billion in cuts
      A sign at a China Telecom Corp. store in Shanghai on Jan. 6, 2021
      Managers make further divestments from sanctioned Chinese firms
      The Chinese flag flies in front of the Liaison Office of the Central People's Government in Hong Kong on May 22, 2020
      Standard Life Aberdeen JV to open mainland China pension insurance company
    • Maine Public Employees boosts target to alternative credit
      Los Angeles City Deferred Comp narrows list to 2 in manager search
      Connecticut pension fund CIO resigns
      Arizona State Retirement looking for CIO
    • Sharmila Chatterjee Kassam
      AIF Institute hires former Texas ERS deputy CIO as executive director
      Varagon Capitol fills new business development role
      SSGA alum named head of ESG at Mirova
      Capital Group hires BlackRock executive to launch ETF unit
    • Pension funds continue private equity investing spree
      Big jump in private equity AUM expected over next 5 years
      Thoma Bravo takes in $22.8 billion for 3 funds
      Jason Thomas
      Data, technology become new prized possessions
    • Ivanhoe Cambridge Inc. signage is displayed outside the company's office near Bay Street in Toronto on Aug. 29, 2011
      Ivanhoe Cambridge, PAG announce joint venture for Japan logistics investments
      Residential buildings in Hong Kong on Feb. 20, 2020
      KKR closes first Asia-Pacific real estate fund at $1.7 billion
      CPPIB in deal with Greystar to develop U.S. housing
      Global real estate investments to hit $79 billion in 2021 – survey
    • Retirement cartoon
      Hopes rising for retirement readiness in 2021
      Neal and Brady
      Retirement security could be only issue both sides accept
      David Ireland
      Sponsors returning to questions about in-plan annuities
      Shawn O'Brien
      Annuities coming to target-date funds, but not right away
    • Outlook 2021
      The top 10 stories of 2020
      The best places to work in money management
      Investment consultants
    • U.S. still a key market for investors
      Collected coverage of P&I's 2020 WorldPensionSummit
      Pedestrians pass a large advertisement on the Arndale Center shopping mall reading 'Act now to avoid a local lockdown' in Manchester, England
      COVID-19 puts new opportunities and risks on the agenda - WPS panelists
      Screens display stock price information over the trading floor of the NYSE Euronext exchange in Paris
      Private assets will continue to grow in portfolios – WPS panelists
  • Data
    • Research Center
    • Searches & Hires Database
    • Searches & Hires News
    • RFPs
    • Charts / Infographics
    • Sponsored Research
    • Trackers
    • Q2 2020 searches and hires overview report
      Q2 2020 money manager M&A activity summary
      Q2 2020 legal overview report
      Q1 2020 searches and hires overview report
    • San Jose Federated commits $11 million to real estate fund
      Essex Pension Fund on the lookout for private debt manager
      Lexington Contributory seeks large-cap equity manager
      Fort Lauderdale fund scouting for large-cap manager
    • San Jose Federated commits $11 million to real estate fund
      Essex Pension Fund on the lookout for private debt manager
      Lexington Contributory seeks large-cap equity manager
      Fort Lauderdale fund scouting for large-cap manager
    • International Small Cap Manager Services
      Financial Expertise
      Passive Index Manager Services
      Emerging Markets Equity Investment Management Services
    • U.S. fixed-income returns post another positive year
      Nasdaq delivers an impressive year
      U.S. dollar's recent decline continues
      Hedge funds warming up to financial sector, remain long U.S. equities
    • Institutional Investors: Shared Expectations, Divergent Paths
      Global Investor Study 2016
      Workplace Financial Wellness
    • U.S. Endowment Returns Tracker
      Pension Fund Returns Tracker
      Earnings Tracker
      Corporate Pension Contribution Tracker
  • Insights
    • Opinion
    • White Papers
    • Industry Voices
    • Letters to the Editor
    • Partner Content
    • Publisher's Update
    • Retirement cartoon
      Hopes rising for retirement readiness in 2021
      view gallery
      25 photos
      Cartoons depict a year like no other
      view gallery
      25 photos
      2020 in editorial Cartoons
      Consultants cartoon
      Seeking an investment consultant? Caveat emptor
    • Climate change and emerging markets after Covid-19
      An Asset Owner's Guide to Multi-Manager Portfolio Management
      Research for Institutional Money Management
      The Future of the U.S. Dollar - Dominant currency or one of many?
    • Michael McNally
      Commentary: New ‘investment-plus’ test poses risks to private equity investors
      Adam Waterous
      Commentary: Institutions urged to act now on opportunities created by current global oil disruption
      Ron Lagnado
      Commentary: Straw man critiques don’t hold up in face of real world success
      Robert Raben
      Commentary: What the asset management industry must do to bolster diversity
    • Writer using a typewriter
      OCIO industry needs to adopt GIPS
      Writer or journalist workplace. stock illustration
      Even as it assails China, Trump administration emulates it
      Skeptical of Main Street support for proxy adviser proposal
      Focus on manager diversity pushes asset owners’ to walk the talk
    • Sponsored Content By iShares
      ETFs are becoming a cornerstone of insurance equity portfolios
      Sponsored Content By Aberdeen Standard Investments
      Taking a passive approach to the hedge-fund universe
      Sponsored Content By World Gold Council
      Gold: the most effective commodity investment
      Sponsored Content By iShares
      For institutional investors, ETFs can make meeting liquidity needs easier
    • Help us help you by supporting quality journalism
      You Must Believe in Spring
      Everything Must Change
      Tomatoes & Investments
  • Multimedia
    • Videos
    • Webinars
    • Polls
    • Slideshows
    • Charts / Infographics
    • watch video
      1:24
      U.S. stocks were 2020’s comeback kid
      watch video
      1:23
      Outlook 2021
      watch video
      1:52
      Buy gold's pullback?
      Coronavirus and the S&P 500: 2020
    • Getting Back to Normal: How to Creatively Manage Fixed Income Portfolios in a Rising Rate Environment
      What might a Biden DOL and SEC mean for retirement plans?
      Staying on target with target-date funds
      The Institutionalization of Retail Part Two: A Webinar Series from P&I Content Solutions and Chestnut Advisory Group
    • POLL: Retirement issues in 2021
      POLL: Money managers' priority in Asia-Pacific region
      POLL: Retirement issues in the presidential election
      POLL: The S&P 500 in the third quarter
    • view gallery
      9 photos
      Coronavirus and the markets
      view gallery
      22 photos
      The 1,000 largest retirement funds: 2020
      view gallery
      10 photos
      Outlook 2020
      view gallery
      10 photos
      2019 as seen through the eyes of Roger
    • Graphic: U.S. stocks were 2020's comeback kid
      U.S. fixed-income returns post another positive year
      By the Numbers
  • Events
    • Conferences
    • Webinars
    • Defined Contribution Spring Virtual Series
      DC Investment Lineup Virtual Series
      ESG Investing Virtual Series
      Private Markets Virtual Series
    • Getting Back to Normal: How to Creatively Manage Fixed Income Portfolios in a Rising Rate Environment
      What might a Biden DOL and SEC mean for retirement plans?
      Staying on target with target-date funds
      The Institutionalization of Retail Part Two: A Webinar Series from P&I Content Solutions and Chestnut Advisory Group
  • Careers
  • Research Center
MENU
Breadcrumb
  1. Home
  2. Print
January 10, 2005 12:00 AM

Outlook 2005: Real estate

‘Nimble’ quality will be attractive attribute

Arleen Jacobius
  • Tweet
  • Share
  • Share
  • Email
  • More
    Reprints Print

    Real estate is expected to remain an attractive asset class for institutional investors in 2005, but it will not be for the timid.

    Insiders say investors will need to be nimble and focus on risk management.

    "In commercial real estate the market is clearly at a point of maturity and most institutions have mature real estate portfolios," said Ken Riggs, chief executive officer and managing principal of Real Estate Research Corp., Chicago.

    This maturity means that institutional investors will need to optimize the value that they have in their portfolios because there will continue to be an abundance of capital chasing fewer opportunities, Mr. Riggs said.

    "Last year we spoke about the importance of patience and creativity to deal with the capital out there," said Jacques Gordon, global strategist for LaSalle Investment Management, Chicago. "In 2005 we are adding ‘nimble,' knowing in advance what your strategy is so when the right deal comes along you can move quickly."

    None of the experts interviewed see a reduction in the massive amount of capital flowing into real estate, but they said if institutional investors want to garner the best returns, they are going to have to take on more risk in general.

    Already making changes

    Some institutional investors are already starting to make changes. In December, the $182.3 billion California Public Employees' Retirement System, Sacramento, decreased its allocation to real estate to 8% from 9%. Fund officials are selling their core real estate holdings, and changing their strategy to focus more on value-added and opportunistic investments, said Brad Pacheco, spokesman for CalPERS.

    "We are selling some assets because the staff sees good opportunities right now to take some profits off the table," Mr. Pacheco said.

    Half of the $59 billion Oakland-based University of California system's approximately $2.2 billion real estate program is being devoted to a core philosophy, said Trey Davis, spokesman.

    The other half is a combination of strategies: 25% going to enhanced real estate by way of closed-end funds; 15% in a high-return strategy also through closed-end funds; and 10% in real estate investment trusts.

    Institutional investors need to expand their definition of real estate beyond the four standard "food groups": apartments, warehouses, shopping centers and office buildings, LaSalle's Mr. Gordon said.

    Four food groups

    "The pressure on the real estate staff from the chief investment officer is to increase the allocation of real estate, and the push back from the real estate staff is that pricing is at record highs and they're not sure this is a good time to do that," Mr. Gordon said. "With the tried and true selling at record low yields, institutions have to look outside the four food groups to things like parking garages, hotels and medical office buildings."

    Rising interest rates are also expected to cause institutional investors to re-examine their real estate allocations, said Maury R. Tognarelli, president and chief executive officer of Heitman LLC, Chicago, "Will they continue to keep their money in real estate in the percentage they have it or will the broader markets produce results that cause them to adjust those allocations?"

    Mr. Tognarelli believes more pension funds will include leverage, and others will go international. "They're diversifying outside of core with more leverage, more leasing risk, putting more in development or going into these property types in other countries," Mr. Tognarelli said.

    Overall navigating the U.S. commercial real estate market in 2005 will be tricky, Mr. Riggs said. "I look at the financial and geopolitical environment and I see it as more uncertain (than) I've seen it in a generation," he said, mentioning high oil prices and interest rates edging upward.

    Certain property types that were out of favor in 2004, like hotels, will become hot while last year's top performer, retail, will lose its luster, Mr. Riggs said.

    "Hotels have been priced down. There's not a big piece in institutional investment portfolios, but they are looking as they are beginning to recover with the job growth and the economy moving along," Mr. Riggs said.

    Retail markets, on the other hand "will be faced with more challenges than in the last three to five years."

    Consumers will have less money to spend because rising interest rates will stop the housing refinancing boom that had given them cash to spend, he said.

    The changing economy and interest rate increases also will be a positive for the apartment market because people who will no longer be able to buy houses will have to rent, Mr. Riggs said.

    Getting serious

    Pension funds, endowments and foundations also are starting to get serious about investing outside the United States, Mr. Gordon said.

    They realize the United States is fully priced but markets like Mexico and Asia are not. "It's one way to deal with massive capital flows to real estate."

    However, investors around the world are wondering if real estate is becoming a riskier asset class because of the amount of money seeking to invest in it, Mr. Tognarelli said.

    "I met with investors and property owners in Tokyo and they asked, ‘Is real estate getting too much capital? Is it overheated and will there be a corrective action?'" Mr. Tognarelli said.

    "It applied to all property types in all the regions of the world." However, compared to other asset classes, real estate is a good bet, he said.

    "Do I think there will be a pullback of pricing if interest rates go up? Sure, some will pull back, but nothing so dramatic that would cause repricing of the asset class," Mr. Tognarelli said.

    Recommended for You
    Read the print edition of P&I
    Read the print edition of P&I
    Targeting millennials: Author, niece put his latest book to music
    Targeting millennials: Author, niece put his latest book to music
    How low is low? Projections say it's not low enough
    How low is low? Projections say it's not low enough
    Research for Institutional Money Management
    Sponsored Content: Research for Institutional Money Management
    sponsored
    Events
     
     
    Sponsored
    White Papers
    Climate change and emerging markets after Covid-19
    An Asset Owner's Guide to Multi-Manager Portfolio Management
    Research for Institutional Money Management
    Bond ETFs show maturity during Covid market mayhem
    Global gold-backed ETFs: A popular gateway to the gold market
    The Future of the U.S. Dollar - Dominant currency or one of many?
    View More
    Sponsored Content
    Partner Content
    The Industrialization of ESG Investment
    For institutional investors, ETFs can make meeting liquidity needs easier
    Gold: the most effective commodity investment
    2021 Investment Outlook | Investing Beyond the Pandemic: A Reset for Portfolios
    Ten ways retirement plan professionals add value to plan sponsors
    Gold: an efficient hedge
    View More
    E-MAIL NEWSLETTERS

    Sign up and get the best of News delivered straight to your email inbox, free of charge. Choose your news – we will deliver.

    Subscribe Today

    Get access to the news, research and analysis of events affecting the retirement and institutional money management businesses from a worldwide network of reporters and editors.

    Subscribe
    Connect With Us
    • RSS
    • Twitter
    • Facebook
    • LinkedIn

    Our Mission

    To consistently deliver news, research and analysis to the executives who manage the flow of funds in the institutional investment market.

    pilogo-NEW
    About Us

    Main Office
    685 Third Avenue
    Tenth Floor
    New York, NY 10017-4036

    Chicago Office
    150 N. Michigan Ave.
    Chicago, IL 60601

    Contact Us

    Careers at Crain

    About Pensions & Investments

     

    Advertising
    • Media Kit
    • P&I Content Solutions
    • P&I Careers | Post a Job
    • Reprints & Permissions
    Resources
    • Subscribe
    • Newsletters
    • FAQ
    • P&I Research Center
    • Site map
    • Staff Directory
    Legal
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms and Conditions
    • Privacy Request
    Pensions & Investments
    Copyright © 1996-2021. Crain Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
    • NEWS
      • Asset owners and the coronavirus
      • Alternatives
      • Consultants
      • Coronavirus
      • Defined Contribution
      • ESG
      • Frontlines
      • Hedge Funds
      • Investing / Portfolio Strategies
      • Money Management
      • Pension Funds
      • People Moves
      • Private Equity
      • Real Estate
      • Searches & Hires News
      • SECURE Act
      • Special Reports
      • WorldPensionSummit
    • Data
      • Research Center
      • Searches & Hires Database
      • Searches & Hires News
      • RFPs
      • Charts / Infographics
      • Sponsored Research
      • Trackers
    • Insights
      • Opinion
      • White Papers
      • Industry Voices
      • Letters to the Editor
      • Partner Content
      • Publisher's Update
    • Multimedia
      • Videos
      • Webinars
      • Polls
      • Slideshows
      • Charts / Infographics
    • Events
      • Conferences
      • Webinars
    • Careers
    • Research Center